Opinion Poll News!

A new telephone survey of 1,000 people for the Sunday Times shows Livingstone leading Johnson by 45% to 44% on first preferences with Brian Paddick way back on 9%. When second preferences were included, the two frontrunners were precisely neck-and-neck. Political Betting and UK Polling Report have doubts about the track record the company, MRUK Cello. What to think? Well, MRUK, ICM and Ipsos MORI have all found the race to be very close I recent weeks. Meanwhile, YouGov - which Political Betting is inclined to think most accurate - has had Johnson ahead by twelve, ten and 13 points followed by last week's fall to six. If there's another YouGov tomorrow and Johnson's lead is down again, I suppose we must suspect that there's been a shift towards Livingstone. But beyond that...?